Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000874 0.000939 0.001008 0.001087 0.001173 0.001267 0.001376
2026-01-25 0.000896 0.001004 0.001124 0.001270 0.001443 0.001642 0.001892
2026-02-01 0.000795 0.000913 0.001050 0.001222 0.001434 0.001691 0.002030
2026-02-08 0.000724 0.000848 0.000996 0.001187 0.001431 0.001738 0.002162
2026-02-15 0.000677 0.000806 0.000964 0.001174 0.001450 0.001809 0.002326
2026-02-22 0.000630 0.000761 0.000924 0.001145 0.001443 0.001844 0.002440
2026-03-01 0.000584 0.000714 0.000877 0.001102 0.001413 0.001841 0.002499
2026-03-08 0.000555 0.000685 0.000852 0.001087 0.001418 0.001887 0.002629
2026-03-15 0.000526 0.000656 0.000824 0.001066 0.001413 0.001915 0.002735
2026-03-22 0.000487 0.000611 0.000774 0.001010 0.001354 0.001858 0.002700
2026-03-29 0.000463 0.000586 0.000748 0.000986 0.001340 0.001868 0.002773
2026-04-05 0.000449 0.000572 0.000738 0.000984 0.001357 0.001926 0.002929
2026-04-12 0.000431 0.000555 0.000725 0.000981 0.001377 0.002000 0.003138
2026-04-19 0.000464 0.000610 0.000815 0.001139 0.001663 0.002540 0.004281
2026-04-26 0.000435 0.000577 0.000777 0.001097 0.001624 0.002525 0.004369
2026-05-03 0.000412 0.000550 0.000748 0.001067 0.001602 0.002536 0.004510
2026-05-10 0.000396 0.000533 0.000731 0.001055 0.001609 0.002601 0.004775
2026-05-17 0.000378 0.000511 0.000707 0.001030 0.001591 0.002617 0.004933
2026-05-24 0.000358 0.000487 0.000676 0.000993 0.001549 0.002582 0.004971
2026-05-31 0.000345 0.000472 0.000661 0.000980 0.001549 0.002628 0.005207
2026-06-07 0.000332 0.000456 0.000643 0.000961 0.001538 0.002652 0.005392
2026-06-14 0.000312 0.000430 0.000608 0.000913 0.001467 0.002548 0.005240
2026-06-21 0.000300 0.000416 0.000590 0.000892 0.001448 0.002551 0.005365